Higher tax rate later?
Choose the Roth. Lower rate later and deductible? Choose traditional.
A Roth IRA and a traditional IRA can hold exactly the same investments. The difference is when the IRS collects its share. With a traditional IRA you may get a deduction today and pay income tax on every dollar you withdraw in retirement. With a Roth IRA you contribute money that has already been taxed, and qualified withdrawals are completely tax-free. That single timing difference drives almost everything else, so the useful question isn't which account is better in general. It's whether your tax rate is likely to be higher now or later, and whether you qualify for the tax break in the first place.
Project Your Balance With the Roth IRA Calculator →| Feature | Roth IRA | Traditional IRA |
|---|---|---|
| Tax break | Tax-free qualified withdrawals | Possible deduction today |
| Growth | Tax-free | Tax-deferred |
| Retirement withdrawals | Tax-free if qualified | Taxed as ordinary income |
| Income limit to contribute | Yes, phases out at higher income | None, but the deduction can phase out |
| Early access | Contributions anytime, tax- and penalty-free | Taxed, plus 10% penalty before 59½ unless an exception applies |
| Required minimum distributions | None for the original owner | Starting at age 73 (75 if born in 1960 or later) |
| Usually best when | Your tax rate will rise | Your tax rate will fall |
You can put in up to $7,500 for 2026, or $8,600 if you're 50 or older. That cap covers all of your IRAs together, and you can't contribute more than you earned from work that year, though a working spouse can fund an IRA for a non-working spouse. Contributions for 2026 are accepted until the April 2027 filing deadline. Whether you get the full tax benefit depends on your modified adjusted gross income (MAGI):
| 2026 Situation | Full Benefit Below | Partial Between | None Above |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roth contribution: single or head of household | $153,000 | $153,000 - $168,000 | $168,000 |
| Roth contribution: married filing jointly | $242,000 | $242,000 - $252,000 | $252,000 |
| Traditional deduction: single, covered by workplace plan | $81,000 | $81,000 - $91,000 | $91,000 |
| Traditional deduction: joint, you're covered by workplace plan | $129,000 | $129,000 - $149,000 | $149,000 |
| Traditional deduction: joint, only your spouse is covered | $242,000 | $242,000 - $252,000 | $252,000 |
If you're married filing separately and lived with your spouse during the year, both phase-outs run from just $0 to $10,000. If neither you nor your spouse is covered by a workplace plan, a traditional IRA is fully deductible at any income.
Inside a phase-out, your limit shrinks in proportion to how far through the range you are. A single filer under 50 with a MAGI of $160,000 is 7,000 / 15,000 of the way through the Roth range, so the allowed contribution is $7,500 × (1 - 0.4667) = $4,000. A single filer with a 401(k) and a MAGI of $85,000 is 40% through the deduction range and can deduct $7,500 × 0.60 = $4,500.
To compare fairly, the first three examples start with the same $7,500 of pre-tax earnings. In the traditional IRA, all $7,500 is invested because the deduction wipes out the tax. In the Roth, you pay tax first and invest what's left. Each account then earns 7% a year for 30 years, which multiplies the money by about 7.61.
| Scenario (Tax Rate Now → Later) | Roth After Tax | Traditional After Tax | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Steady earner (22% → 22%) | $44,532 | $44,532 | Tie |
| 2. Early career (12% → 22%) | $50,241 | $44,532 | Roth by $5,709 |
| 3. Peak earner, no workplace plan (24% → 12%) | $43,390 | $50,241 | Traditional by $6,851 |
At 22% both now and later, the Roth invests $7,500 × 0.78 = $5,850, which grows to $44,532. The traditional IRA invests $7,500, grows to $57,092, and loses 22% on withdrawal, also leaving $44,532. They match because multiplication works in any order: taxing the money before or after growth gives the same answer. The growth itself isn't what separates these accounts. The tax rate is.
A 25-year-old in the 12% bracket (for 2026, taxable income up to $50,400 if single) pays only $900 in tax to invest $6,600 in a Roth, which grows to $50,241 tax-free. The traditional IRA's $57,092 would owe about $12,560 at a 22% rate in retirement. Verdict: paying tax while your rate is low is the Roth's best case.
A self-employed single filer in the 24% bracket with no workplace plan keeps the full deduction. A Roth would invest only $5,700 and end up at $43,390. The traditional IRA's $57,092 is taxed at 12% in a modest retirement, leaving $50,241. Verdict: deducting at a high rate and withdrawing at a low one is the traditional IRA's best case. Note the condition, though. If this person had a 401(k), an income in the 24% bracket would be far above the $91,000 limit and the deduction would disappear, so the Roth would be the better IRA.
The first three examples assume you'd invest the same pre-tax income. But the limit is the same $7,500 for both accounts, and a Roth dollar is worth more because it's already taxed. Suppose you're at 22% now and later and contribute the full $7,500 either way. The Roth grows to $57,092, all yours. The traditional IRA also grows to $57,092, but after 22% tax you keep $44,532. You did save $1,650 in tax up front, and if you invest that in a taxable account earning 6% after tax drag, it grows to about $9,477, for a total of $54,008. The Roth comes out about $3,083 ahead at identical tax rates. Verdict: if you're maxing out your IRA, the Roth effectively lets you shelter more money.
Start by finding your marginal rate with the income tax calculator, then estimate what you'll withdraw each year in retirement with the retirement withdrawal calculator. If the first rate is lower than the second, lean Roth. Then use the Roth IRA calculator to see what steady contributions could grow into, and try the compound interest calculator to test different return assumptions.
Open the Roth IRA Calculator →It mostly depends on your tax rate now compared with your rate in retirement. If you expect a higher rate later, the Roth usually wins. If you expect a lower rate later and can deduct your contribution, the traditional IRA usually wins.
If the rates are equal and you fund the full limit, the Roth has an edge because the limit shelters more after-tax money.
You can contribute up to $7,500 in total across all of your IRAs, or $8,600 if you're 50 or older, but no more than your taxable compensation for the year. A working spouse can fund an IRA for a non-working spouse. Contributions for 2026 can be made until the April 2027 filing deadline.
Yes, as long as your combined contributions stay within the annual limit. For 2026 you could put $4,000 in a Roth and $3,500 in a traditional IRA, but not $7,500 in each. Splitting is a reasonable hedge if you're unsure about future tax rates.
For 2026, direct contributions phase out between $153,000 and $168,000 of MAGI for single and head of household filers, and between $242,000 and $252,000 for joint filers.
Above the range, some people use a backdoor Roth: a nondeductible traditional IRA contribution followed by a conversion. Existing pre-tax IRA balances can make part of that conversion taxable.
Your own contributions can come out at any time without tax or penalty. Earnings are generally tax-free and penalty-free only after age 59½ and once five tax years have passed since your first Roth IRA contribution, unless an exception applies.
Not for the original owner. Traditional IRAs require distributions starting at age 73, moving to 75 for people born in 1960 or later. Beneficiaries who inherit either account do have distribution rules.
Only if your income is low enough. For 2026, a single filer covered by a workplace plan gets a full deduction below $81,000 of MAGI, a partial deduction up to $91,000, and none above that.
For joint filers, the range is $129,000 to $149,000 for the spouse covered by the plan, and $242,000 to $252,000 for a spouse who isn't covered but is married to someone who is.